Forex Correlation Analysis Reports 1H.1M

Forex Correlations

Bouts of panic in the markets, such as seen in Fall 2008, during the "Flash Crash" of 2010, or after the US credit rating downgrade in 2011, are characterized not only by high volatility, but also by unusually high degree of correlation among the instruments. The concept of portfolio diversification collapses, as the universe of financial instruments degenerates into risky assets and safe haven assets.

To characterize the picture of correlation in the spot currency markets in its evolution, at least three aspects are needed:

  1. volatility
  2. strength of "instantaneous" correlation among the time series
  3. presence of lagged correlation effects among the instruments and within the individual time series of the time series

In this section, ForexAutomaton monitors and publishes information about degree of correlation among the spot FX rates in the form of correlation reports obtained on hourly time scale (1H), each report processing a month-long piece of data (1M).

CERCSI (which stands for Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index), and CERPI (Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index) are ForexAutomaton tools designed to monitor the degree of degeneracy in the correlations among the currency exchange rates, and the degree of market inefficiency, respectively. Both are explained in separate articles.  

New reports are added monthly.  

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January 2017 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the January 2017 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for January 2017. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001238530.3306430.0435339
Read more...
 
December 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the December 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for December 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001241080.338660.0510184
Read more...
 
November 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the November 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for November 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001521750.3365640.11075
Read more...
 
October 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the October 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for October 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001181970.2776130.0370265
Read more...
 
September 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the September 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for September 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001144660.3140570.0434891
Read more...
 
August 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the August 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for August 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001058490.3048040.0394701
Read more...
 
July 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the July 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for July 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001535950.3506020.0328066
Read more...
 
June 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the June 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for June 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.002583190.5317510.0981812
Read more...
 
May 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the May 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for May 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001175170.3249180.0353337
Read more...
 
April 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the April 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for April 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001335710.3431880.0496194
Read more...
 
March 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the March 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for March 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001381240.3587810.043882
Read more...
 
February 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the February 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for February 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001628950.3845680.0380044
Read more...
 
January 2016 Forex Correlation and Inefficiency Report

Here is the January 2016 update of the ForexAutomaton correlation analysis report, with its distinctive emphasis on time-lag dependence of auto-correlations and intermarket correlations.The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual.The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for January 2016. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index,CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1MCERCSI 1H.1MCERPI 1H.1M
0.001699840.4315620.044219
Read more...
 
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