Forex Correlation Analysis Reports 1H.1M

Forex Correlations

Bouts of panic in the markets, such as seen in Fall 2008, during the "Flash Crash" of 2010, or after the US credit rating downgrade in 2011, are characterized not only by high volatility, but also by unusually high degree of correlation among the instruments. The concept of portfolio diversification collapses, as the universe of financial instruments degenerates into risky assets and safe haven assets.

To characterize the picture of correlation in the spot currency markets in its evolution, at least three aspects are needed:

  1. volatility
  2. strength of "instantaneous" correlation among the time series
  3. presence of lagged correlation effects among the instruments and within the individual time series of the time series

In this section, ForexAutomaton monitors and publishes information about degree of correlation among the spot FX rates in the form of correlation reports obtained on hourly time scale (1H), each report processing a month-long piece of data (1M).

CERCSI (which stands for Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index), and CERPI (Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index) are ForexAutomaton tools designed to monitor the degree of degeneracy in the correlations among the currency exchange rates, and the degree of market inefficiency, respectively. Both are explained in separate articles.  

New reports are added monthly.  

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July 2004 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for July 2004. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00115638 0.353718 0.0401009
Read more...
 
June 2004 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for June 2004. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00134629 0.323955 0.0412469
Read more...
 
May 2004 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for May 2004. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00138413 0.344018 0.0463935
Read more...
 
April 2004 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for April 2004. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00143156 0.347951 0.0474359
Read more...
 
March 2004 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for March 2004. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00157548 0.364356 0.07059
Read more...
 
February 2004 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for February 2004. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00126745 0.396346 0.04532
Read more...
 
January 2004 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for January 2004. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.0013133 0.396009 0.0372457
Read more...
 
December 2003 Correlation Report
Forex Correlation Analysis Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for December 2003. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.0011209 0.407764 0.0523507
Read more...
 
November 2003 Correlation Report
Forex Correlation Analysis Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for November 2003. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00120183 0.373139 0.0557251
Read more...
 
October 2003 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for October 2003. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00121736 0.364742 0.0506592
Read more...
 
September 2003 Correlation Report
Forex Correlation Analysis Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for September 2003. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00135577 0.347676 0.0580617
Read more...
 
August 2003 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for August 2003. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00119448 0.355019 0.0524425
Read more...
 
July 2003 Correlation Report

This monthly forex correlation analysis report is computer-generated. The report follows structure and definitions explained in a separate document, which can be used as a user manual. The report deals with the following exchange rate time series: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, CHFJPY, EURAUD, EURCHF, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY.

Table 1. Forex Automaton Index updates for July 2003. CERPI -- Currency Exchange Rate Predictability Index, CERCSI -- Currency Exchange Rate Correlation Strength Index.

volatility 1H.1M CERCSI 1H.1M CERPI 1H.1M
0.00132288 0.331423 0.0419505
Read more...
 
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